Shanaka Anslem Perera: The Algorithm That Detected a $610 Billion Fraud: How Machine Intelligence Exposed the AI Industry’s Circular Financing Scheme. At precisely 4:00 PM Eastern Time on November 19, 2025, Nvidia Corporation released third-quarter earnings that exceeded Wall Street expectations (more)

Ed Zitron: The Hater's Guide To The AI Bubble Vol. 2. As I reported earlier in the week, OpenAI spent $12.4 billion on inference between 2024 and September 2025 (more)

The naturalistic decision making (NDM) framework emerged as a means of studying how people make decisions and perform cognitively complex functions in demanding, real-world situations. These include situations marked by limited time, uncertainty, high stakes, team and organizational constraints, unstable conditions, and varying amounts of experience (ill-structured)... The NDM movement originated at a conference in Dayton, Ohio in 1989, which resulted in a book (Decision Making in Action: Models and Methods ISBN:978-0-89391-943-6) by Gary Klein, Judith Orasanu, Roberta Calderwood, and Caroline Zsambok.[1] The NDM framework focuses on cognitive functions such as decision making, sensemaking, situational awareness, and planning – which emerge in natural settings and take forms that are not easily replicated in the laboratory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Naturalistic_decision-making (more)

Stuart Kauffman concept. I can begin to imagine making models of how the universe gets more complex, but at the same time I'm hamstrung... How do we get started on something where we could talk about the future of a biosphere? There is a chance that there are general laws. I've thought about four of them. One of them says that autonomous agents have to live the most complex game (complex system) that they can. The second has to do with the construction of EcoSystems. The third has to do with Per Bak's Self Organized criticality in ecosystems. And the fourth concerns the idea of the Adjacent Possible. It just may be the case that biospheres on average keep expanding into the adjacent possible. By doing so they increase the Diversity of what can happen next. It may be that biospheres, as a secular trend, maximize the rate of exploration of the adjacent possible. If they did it too fast, they would destroy their own internal organization, so there may be internal gating mechanisms. This is why I call this an average secular trend, since they explore the Adjacent Possible as fast as they can get away with it. There's a lot of neat science to be done to unpack that, and I'm thinking about it. http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/kauffman03/kauffman_index.html (more)

David de Ugarte book on the steps in creating a new Phyle (Tribe, (more)

Phyle (Greek: φυλή, romanized: phulē, "tribe, clan"; pl. phylai, φυλαί; derived from ancient Greek φύεσθαι "to descend, to originate") is an ancient Greek term for tribe or clan.[1] Members of the same phyle were known as symphyletai (Greek: συμφυλέται), literally: fellow tribesmen.[2] They were usually ruled by a basileus. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phyle (more)

a server controlled by/for an individual (more)

William Henry Beveridge, 1st Baron Beveridge, KCB (5 March 1879 – 16 March 1963) was a British economist and Liberal politician who was a progressive, social reformer, and eugenicist who played a central role in designing the British welfare state. His 1942 report Social Insurance and Allied Services (known as the Beveridge Report) served as the basis for the welfare state put in place by the Labour government elected in 1945... Beveridge saw full employment (defined as unemployment of no more than 3%) as the pivot of the social welfare programme he expressed in the 1942 report. Measures for achieving full-employment might include Keynesian-style fiscal regulation, direct control of manpower, and state control of the means of production. The impetus behind Beveridge's thinking was social justice, and the creation of an ideal new society after the war. He believed that the discovery of objective socio-economic laws (central planning) could solve the problems of society. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Beveridge (more)

Brad DeLong: “Slouching” Omission: Mishandling the: Theme of the Industrial Research Laboratory: First Edition. Arthur Goldhammer has a withering critique of how the theme of the industrial research lab is developed—or, rather, left undeveloped in the book (Slouching Towards Utopia). (more)

Ed Zitron: The Hater's Guide To NVIDIA. I'm going to try and explain both what this company is, how we got here, and ask questions that I, from the perspective of a dumbass, have about the company, and at least try and answer them. (more)

Martin Seligman in EdgeOrg. Coming out this month as part of the DSM is a classification of strengths and Virtues; it's the opposite of the classification of the insanities. When we look we see that there are six Virtue-s, which we find endorsed across cultures, and these break down into 24 strengths. The six virtues that we find are non-arbitrary - first, a Wisdom and Knowledge cluster; second, a Courage cluster; third, virtues like love and humanity; fourth, a Justice cluster; fifth a temperance, moderation cluster; and sixth a Spirituality, transcendence cluster... So just to review so far, there is the Pleasant Life - having as many of the pleasures as you can and the skills to amplify them - and the Good Life - knowing what your signature strengths are and recrafting everything you do to use them a much as possible. But there's a third form of life, and if you're a bridge player like me, or a stamp collector, you can have eudaemonia; that is, you can be in Flow State. But everyone finds that as they grow older and look in the mirror they worry that they're fidgeting until they die. That's because there's a third form of Happiness that is ineluctably pursued by humans, and that's the pursuit of Meaning. I'm not going to be sophomoric enough to try to tell Edge viewers the theory of meaning, but there is one thing we know about meaning: that meaning consists in attachment to something bigger than you are. The self is not a very good site for meaning, and the larger the thing that you can credibly attach yourself to, the more meaning you get out of life... There will likely be a pharmacology of pleasure, and there may be a pharmacology of positive emotion generally, but it's unlikely there'll be an interesting pharmacology of flow. And it's impossible that there'll be a pharmacology of meaning. (more)

When you start Growing Your Startup Tech Product Team, one or both of your Founders typically fills the Product Management role. (more)

John Luttig: When Tailwinds Vanish. The Internet tailwinds that propelled Silicon Valley’s meteoric growth for decades are stalling out. The ripple effects will jolt the tech industry. (more)

book by Francis Spufford about Soviet Union's attempts at Planned Economy. ISBN:1555976042 (more)

Jorge Aranda notes A critique from Alistair Cockburn on how the Agile Software Development movement is under attack from Taylorism led me to an essay by Dave West on the philosophical incompatibilities between Lean Development and agile techniques, and this in turn led me to finally give a read to Peter Naur’s 1985 text, “Programming as Theory Building.” (Naur Programming as Theory Building) Naur’s programmer’s theories are essentially Mental Models in the sense I (and many others before me) present them, and both he and I claim that the overarching goal of a software development organization is to build those models (or theories) during the life of the project. I could actually restate my thesis contributions as extensions to Naur’s sketch in two ways: first, I explore what I think is the main challenge that software team members find today: to build consistent mental models (or in the terms of the thesis, to develop a shared understanding (Shared Language)) of the world, among potentially large groups of people, in the face of abundant, shifting, and tacit information, and unclear or exploratory goals. Second, I outline some attributes of team interaction (Team Work) that make such a challenge easier to overcome. (more)

theory with attitude https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thesis_(disambiguation)

In philosophy of mind, the extended mind thesis (EMT) says that the mind does not exclusively reside in the brain or even the body, but extends into the physical world.[1] The EMT proposes that some objects in the external environment can be part of a cognitive process and in that way function as extensions of the mind itself. Examples of such objects are written calculations, a diary, or a PC; in general, it concerns objects that store information. The EMT considers the mind to encompass every level of cognition, including a physical level. The EMT was proposed by Andy Clark and David Chalmers in "The Extended Mind" (1998). They describe the idea as "active externalism, based on the active role of the environment in driving cognitive processes." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extended_mind_thesis (more)

Zvi Mowshowitz: AI #119: Goodbye AISI? AISI is being rebranded highly non-confusingly as CAISI. Is it the end of AISI and a huge disaster, or a tactical renaming to calm certain people down? Hard to tell. It could go either way. (more)

game that takes a long time to play/end; typically a real-world game (more)

Time to Start VibePrototyping. (more)